Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.544862 0.718550 0.916921 1.156980 1.436399 1.748319 2.119765
2025-03-02 0.286680 0.485265 0.747652 1.104277 1.561430 2.113928 2.818105
2025-03-09 0.173095 0.379961 0.694299 1.166046 1.817980 2.652501 3.766593
2025-03-16 0.091412 0.277711 0.609596 1.160357 1.976924 3.076491 4.602859
2025-03-23 0.056274 0.234019 0.597679 1.250506 2.269272 3.690199 5.714936
2025-03-30 0.031531 0.191669 0.572089 1.309577 2.516165 4.252411 6.783036
2025-04-06 0.015131 0.151143 0.533723 1.336048 2.710032 4.745527 7.773988
2025-04-13 0.004850 0.108146 0.470103 1.301734 2.798818 5.085829 8.561427
2025-04-20 0.001294 0.082948 0.436190 1.313862 2.958953 5.533171 9.509306
2025-04-27 0.000157 0.063504 0.406836 1.327301 3.118185 5.981650 10.468406
2025-05-04 NaN 0.042493 0.356685 1.284108 3.170982 6.264590 11.192005
2025-05-11 NaN 0.026483 0.308009 1.231010 3.196993 6.501731 11.850212
2025-05-18 NaN 0.017995 0.283117 1.231740 3.326543 6.915685 12.794737
2025-05-25 NaN 0.010251 0.247782 1.196188 3.382249 7.211376 13.570057
2025-06-01 NaN 0.008553 0.252493 1.272113 3.663031 7.887459 14.939994
2025-06-08 NaN 0.005100 0.232501 1.271764 3.788955 8.308608 15.928163
2025-06-15 NaN 0.004641 0.244544 1.370785 4.124603 9.092123 17.490209
2025-06-22 NaN 0.003573 0.245606 1.435346 4.391214 9.764703 18.891529
2025-06-29 NaN 0.002245 0.236281 1.464434 4.583972 10.315525 20.112388
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000839 0.209621 1.428389 4.633623 10.619955 20.951915
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000352 0.198017 1.441559 4.790064 11.112689 22.095066
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000112 0.187571 1.456004 4.948949 11.612099 23.254919
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000002 0.163587 1.410071 4.966852 11.860813 24.017970